Macedonia - Stats & Scores [Ep13 Up]
Aug 3, 2014 2:43:39 GMT -8
Sandy, Jared Merrell, and 1 more like this
Post by Deleted on Aug 3, 2014 2:43:39 GMT -8
STATS & SCORES
Over the course of Macedonia I'm going to evaluate the players across two main factors - challenge performance and tribal council statistics. Using a form of sabre metrics devised over at TrueDorkTimes.com, it will give an insight into who's standing out and who is struggling/likeliest target
You can read up on the premise of this HERE - if you're a stat nerd like myself then this might prove to be an interesting spin on the events that will transpire. There are slight modifications to the formula I will be using but it's pretty close to the one they use over on TDT.
General Rules of Accumulating Data
Episode Zero [Pre-Game]
A lot of finalists sitting in the top tier as expected, Joe Purcell based on India shows a huge deterioration from Bali where he otherwise would've easily had a spot in the Top 10. No surprises near the bottom of the table, Heather sitting on a solid zero but a surprising appearance from Craig who despite making the top four in Japan is in the Bottom 10 thanks in part to what is a shockingly bad voting record.
(Green Cells in the JVF section indicate that player was a finalist in their last season)
The Ones To Watch
Pay close attention to these two going into Episode One, their back-to-back experience is going to help them in the early stages and they have potential to do some really interesting stuff.
The Ones To Avoid
These girls are in way too deep and will struggle to stay afloat, HLC won't have a clue what's going on and Renee will end up lost at sea (hope you're enjoying these sea analogies, btw)
Over the course of Macedonia I'm going to evaluate the players across two main factors - challenge performance and tribal council statistics. Using a form of sabre metrics devised over at TrueDorkTimes.com, it will give an insight into who's standing out and who is struggling/likeliest target
You can read up on the premise of this HERE - if you're a stat nerd like myself then this might prove to be an interesting spin on the events that will transpire. There are slight modifications to the formula I will be using but it's pretty close to the one they use over on TDT.
General Rules of Accumulating Data
1. Player stats are reflected of their movements in-game, this does not include those that have attended any form of Redemption as this is considered out-game. This came into play at the merge with Mike returning so his ChA will differ (see Page 3)
2. Challenge Appearances is the understanding that a player took part in a Reward/Immunity Challenge - as it would be impossible to locate the correct amount of times a player has sat out across the entire cast they are considered attended due to their involvement in the tribe. In the event that a player has attended rival Tribal Councils but did not vote in their previous season it is not reflected in their statistics as they are ineligible to be eliminated.
3. Players are (currently) ranked across three tiers;
2. Challenge Appearances is the understanding that a player took part in a Reward/Immunity Challenge - as it would be impossible to locate the correct amount of times a player has sat out across the entire cast they are considered attended due to their involvement in the tribe. In the event that a player has attended rival Tribal Councils but did not vote in their previous season it is not reflected in their statistics as they are ineligible to be eliminated.
3. Players are (currently) ranked across three tiers;
Top Tier - Players who maintain or exceed in two areas, be it a strong Challenge component or Tribal Council success rate alongside Jury Votes (where applicable)
Average Players - Players who have a balance between their Challenge wins, Tribal Council accuracy and Jury Votes (where applicable, but incredibly rare to have in this tier)
Weakest Players - Players more commonly identified as inept due to their inability to vote correctly, poor Challenge performance or are a target for people to throw their votes on. There is a chance of a finalist being ranked in this field but that would be in part to embodying incredibly weak statistics and essentially being dragged to the end.
Episode Zero [Pre-Game]
A lot of finalists sitting in the top tier as expected, Joe Purcell based on India shows a huge deterioration from Bali where he otherwise would've easily had a spot in the Top 10. No surprises near the bottom of the table, Heather sitting on a solid zero but a surprising appearance from Craig who despite making the top four in Japan is in the Bottom 10 thanks in part to what is a shockingly bad voting record.
(Green Cells in the JVF section indicate that player was a finalist in their last season)
The Ones To Watch
Pay close attention to these two going into Episode One, their back-to-back experience is going to help them in the early stages and they have potential to do some really interesting stuff.
The Ones To Avoid
These girls are in way too deep and will struggle to stay afloat, HLC won't have a clue what's going on and Renee will end up lost at sea (hope you're enjoying these sea analogies, btw)
Disclaimer
This is merely an accumulation of information based on what I was able to find going back in the old forums and what I've collected for the Wikia. There is bound to be data on here which is inaccurate so do take it with a pinch of salt, additionally this doesn't reflect players social game at all as that's near-impossible to factually pinpoint.